Iris Coleman
March 13, 2025 09:29
The price of Bitcoin fluctuates between $ 85,000 and $ 92,000 as market volatility increases due to macroeconomic changes and strategic initiatives, according to Bitfinex Alpha.
The Bitcoin price (BTC) has undergone significant volatility, fluctuating between $ 85,000 and $ 92,000, while uncertainty continues to weigh on the market. The temporary recovery from last week to $ 90,000 was quickly followed by a period of strong oscillation, according to Bitfinex Alpha. This volatility was amplified by the expiration of $ 3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options, which has caused significant price oscillations.
Increased sensitivity to macroeconomic changes
The real volatility of Bitcoin options has exceeded 80%, which indicates the increased sensitivity of the market to macroeconomic changes. Before a large conference, the planned volatility also increased by 35.7% as merchants adjusted their positions. Channel data revealed that many traders have suffered substantial losses last week, the losses made daily reaching $ 818 million, marking some of the most important losses in this cycle.
Bitcoin sopr and market feeling
The Production profit ratio (SOPR) for Bitcoin has entered a negative territory for the first time since October 2024, suggesting financial sales induced by pressure. The SOPR for short -term investors recorded the second largest negative value in the cycle at 0.95, indicating that new market entrants are capitulating. Historically, an SOPR accumulation above 1.0 signals and an upward trend, while remaining below this level could lead to new risks.
Macroeconomic indicators and strategic reserves
The current macroeconomic indicators do not provide any clear direction. Despite a healthy American labor market with 151,000 new jobs in February, the unemployment rate increased to 4.1% due to government job cuts. Salaries growth remains high, but high labor costs and inflationary pressures can mitigate expectations for several federal reserve rate decreases this year. Labor productivity increased 1.5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, allowing companies to compensate for costs without additional hiring, although a stagnation of employment can present long -term risks.
In a historic decision, US President Donald Trump has created a Bitcoin strategic reserve, holding more than 187,000 BTCs worth $ 13 billion. This marks a significant passage of bitcoin confiscated at auction to keep it as a national asset. The administration also put pressure for stablecoin legislation by August and aims to end restrictive policies such as the Choke Point 2.0 operation, strengthening the position of the United States as a world leader in crypto.
Regulatory and tax developments
The Cry crypto working group plans to hold a round table on March 21 to clarify the safety state of digital assets, signaling a change to more structured regulatory advice. Meanwhile, in Japan, the Liberal Democratic Party implements friendly tax reforms, reducing the tax on capital gains to 20% and categorizing cryptocurrencies as a class of distinct assets. The reforms also offer the difference in taxes on crypto crypto-au transactions and applies fair taxation to derivatives, encouraging investment in digital assets.
For more information, visit the official Bitfinex Alpha.
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